They should stay in this game because of the Dolphins' defensive woes allowing them to have some success running and passing. The Texans might be getting Tyrod Taylor back to start at quarterback. Pick: Steelers win 24-13 and cover the spread. The Bears' defense is starting to fall apart in key areas and the Steelers will exploit it well with Najee Harris, Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool. Chicago has shown some inconsistent flashes with Justin Fields, but on the road in Pittsburgh facing that crowd, against that defense is a difficult rookie assignment. The schedule can keep them hot until a critical Week 12 rematch the Bengals. After a dangerous drop to 1-3, coach Mike Tomlin has gotten them back on track with the defense and running game combination. The Steelers are suddenly seeing things break in their favor in the AFC North. Lock of the Week: Steelers (-6, 39.5 o/u) over Bears Result: Colts win 45-30 and cover the spread. Pick: Colts win 27-14 and cover the spread.

Mike White and the Jets had their big moments against the Bengals, much like the previous big Titans upset. New York cannot slow down Taylor from scrimmage and he will set up a more comfortable outing for Wentz at home in prime time. That means an overcorrection to featuring plenty of Jonathan Taylor against a weak run defense but tricky overall pass defense. The Colts got sloppy with their offense against the Titans and lost, which fell on Frank Reich and Carson Wentz. Game of Midweek: Jets at Colts (-10.5, 46.5 o/u) Pick: Chiefs win 31-24 but fail to cover the spread. Mahomes rebounds with plenty of Tyreek Hill and a rebounding Travis Kelce, with a little more support from his running game again, too. Green Bay can stay in the game, but their defense won't hold vs. Dillon in a great matchup to help, and Adams can also roast a bad secondary. Love will lean a lot on the running game of Aaron Jones and A.J. The Packers were able to win down wide receivers Davante Adams and Allen Lazard in Week 8 on Thursday night, but losing Aaron Rodgers (COVID-19) and tight end Robert Tonyan are much different stories with Jordan Love now needing to make his first NFL start in a hurry in hostile Arrowhead Steadium. Game of the Week: Packers at Chiefs (-7, 48 o/u) 1 Saints, Steelers rise Buccaneers, Browns drop NFL picks against the spread for Week 9

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